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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jakob Poeltl has sunk 8.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted in all games this season while playing at home.
  • Jakob Poeltl has played 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
  • The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a positive one for shots from downtown; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 56.9% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile).
  • The 8th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
  • The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jakob Poeltl has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • When it comes to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Raptors.

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