Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 10.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a favorable one; he has given up a massive 21.7 points per game at home when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl has attempted 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl slots into the 4th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on the road with a subpar 0.0% rate this year.
The Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Jakob Poeltl will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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