Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has sunk 52.4% of his shots from the field while on the road this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The matchup against Brook Lopez is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 3.3 treys per game (96th percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 7th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.7 fouls per game this year.
The Raptors check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been quite low this year (2.0 free throws per game: 13th percentile).

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