Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
The Raptors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Anthony Davis is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Davis is on his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 5.5 foul shots per game (97th percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl places in the 7th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing on the road, totaling 0.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 3.6 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Raptors check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point shots.
The number of treys made against Anthony Davis has been quite low (0.3 per game) when he is at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 90th percentile for off the mark free throw attempts, logging a monstrous 1.0 per game this year.

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