Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 9, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 64.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against Ivica Zubac is a good one for three-point attempts; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.1 three-pointers per game (100th percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 3.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The Raptors check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers).
Jakob Poeltl figures to see a decline in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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