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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors

 
 
 
Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jakob Poeltl has sunk 62.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.0% higher than he's made in all games this season.
  • The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Raptors will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).
  • The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jakob Poeltl has attempted 3.3 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.1 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Compared to last season's 3.0 mark, Jakob Poeltl's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 4.1.
  • With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
  • When defending opposing starting Cs, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 4th percentile with just 1.2 treys attempted against him per game since the start of last season.
  • Jakob Poeltl will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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