Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 2:19 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has sunk 62.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.0% higher than he's made in all games this season.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).
The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl has attempted 3.3 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.1 rate last year.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Compared to last season's 3.0 mark, Jakob Poeltl's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 4.1.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
When defending opposing starting Cs, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 4th percentile with just 1.2 treys attempted against him per game since the start of last season.
Jakob Poeltl will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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