Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 2, 2024 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has converted 64.8% of his field goal attempts on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc sunk against Anthony Davis has been very high (0.8 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season (96th percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 3rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Toronto Raptors's poor 10.5 converted threes per game with the home court advantage settles in as the lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Anthony Davis has been very low since the start of last season (2.5 foul shots per game: 12th percentile).

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