Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has made a terrific 67.9% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 62.5 mark last year.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jakob Poeltl should get a boost in output in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game while at home this year.
In regard to shooting, the Raptors's unimpressive 108.4 points per game on their home court rates 3rd-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The number of treys attempted against Nic Claxton has been remarkably low (1.2 per game) when playing on the road and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.

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