Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl registers in the 97th percentile for scoring efficiency when playing at home with a a phenomenal 69.5% rate this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Isaiah Jackson has been remarkably high this year (4.6 foul shot attempts per game when they are on their home court: 97th percentile).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has made 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Raptors check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a strong one; while playing on the road they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to their opposition this year (123.0).
The matchup vs. Isaiah Jackson is a difficult one for three-point shots; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a lowly 26.0% of their three-pointers (7th percentile).