Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl slots into the 98th percentile for field goal performance at home with a a superb 71.9% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Allen is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have totaled a massive 0.8 threes per game (86th percentile).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have nabbed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Jakob Poeltl should see a rise in productivity in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has converted 0.0% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jakob Poeltl has accumulated 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
When it comes to scoring, the Raptors's feeble 111.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which should reduce opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.