Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 7, 2024

Updated Feb 8, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this season.
The number of points registered against Nick Richards has been remarkably high (17.0 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has converted 0.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This matchup is a favorable one for threes; their opposition has totaled the 6th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (13.6).
Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted 23.2 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
Jakob Poeltl will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production for all stats.