Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 62.5% clip, Jakob Poeltl's scoring efficiency has risen this year to 68.6%.
Jakob Poeltl has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one for scoring; opposing clubs have shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.9%).
When at home and squaring off against other starting Cs, Alperen Sengun places in the 90th percentile with a monstrous 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against him per game this year.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 0.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have captured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets (continuing possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
Jakob Poeltl figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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