Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl registers in the 96th percentile for scoring proficiency while on the road with a a remarkable 67.9% rate this year.
The rate of treys made against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (54.8%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should raise plays for the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (87th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have snagged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).
In comparison to last year's 56.3% mark, Jakob Poeltl's free-throw prowess has dropped this year to 48.2%.

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