Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has converted 72.5% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 14thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 18.4 foul shots per game when the Jazz are away from home this year (least in the league).
Jakob Poeltl ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
With respect to offense, the Toronto Raptors's feeble 112.0 points per game as the home team comes in as the 5th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league while at home this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
In comparison to last season's 56.3% clip, Jakob Poeltl's foul-shot performance has tailed off this season to 48.2%.

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