Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has made a whopping 74.3% of his shots from the field this season, a big improvement over his 62.5 rate last season.
The number of field goal attempts against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (11.8 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).
Jakob Poeltl stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.
In comparison to last year's 56.3% rate, Jakob Poeltl's free-throw effectiveness has declined this year to 48.0%.

More Jakob Poeltl Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow