Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has sunk a whopping 73.6% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly more than his 62.5 rate last year.
The Raptors have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Knicks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
With respect to offense, the Raptors's feeble 111.1 points per game settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Raptors.
In contrast to last year's 1.6 mark, Jakob Poeltl's foul shots sunk have fallen this year to 0.3 per game.

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