Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has sunk an impressive 73.8% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 62.5 rate last year.
Jakob Poeltl has been called for a mere 2.3 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.5 fouls per game last season.
The Raptors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive boards per game (7.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last year's 3.1 clip, Jakob Poeltl's number of foul shot attempts has surged this year to 2.9 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has made 0.0% of his three-pointers while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have averaged 37.5% on 3-pointers (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Knicks, resulting in a strong matchup.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have scored 12.6 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Toronto Raptors.

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