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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors

 
 
 
Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In contrast to last year's 62.5% clip, Jakob Poeltl's shooting prowess has surged this year to 72.8%.
  • The matchup against Cleveland is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (54.8%).
  • The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
  • The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (24th-most in the league) against the Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jakob Poeltl has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.5 fouls per game last year.
  • The Raptors rank as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from competing against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
  • Away from their home court, the Cavaliers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Relative to last year's 56.3% clip, Jakob Poeltl's free-throw prowess has tailed off this year to 44.7%.

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