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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 62.5% clip, Jakob Poeltl's field goal proficiency has increased this season to 71.5%.

This year, the other team's starting Cs have posted 19.3 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Pacers, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive production.

The 5th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.

The Raptors check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 2.5 rate, Jakob Poeltl's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 3.8.

The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team has collected 10.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense).

In comparison to last season's 54.4% mark, Jakob Poeltl's free-throw effectiveness has declined this season to 33.3%.

Jakob Poeltl will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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