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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 97th percentile for shooting performance while at home with a a great 66.4% rate this year.

This year, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 1.3 3-pointers per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a good matchup.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).

Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

In comparison to last season's 56.3% mark, Jakob Poeltl's foul-shot performance has been reduced this season to 42.7%.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.0 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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