Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl measures in the 97th percentile for shooting prowess with a an impressive 67.0% rate this year.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
In regard to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's lackluster 108.2 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting Cs have logged 11.0 points per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.
The 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
This year, their opposition has collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

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