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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jakob Poeltl has converted a terrific 71.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant increase from his 65.7 rate last season.

The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one; when the Washington Wizards have the home court advantage, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs since the start of last season (16.0).

The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Raptors.

The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 2.5 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.1 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 4th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a bad 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games when playing away from home, 1.0 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.

The Raptors rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year.

The 3rd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Toronto Raptors.

The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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