Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team has shot 35.2% on threes (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a hard matchup.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for scoring; when the Mavericks are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have put up the 27th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA since the start of last season (62.1%).
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which ought to raise possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 3rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, tallying 0.0 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season.
As it relates to scoring, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 112.3 points per game at home settles in as the 7th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.

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