Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a favorable one for threes; the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (41.6%).
The Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have attempted 21.0 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Spurs, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has made 63.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.2% lower than he's converted overall this season while on his home court.
Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game since the start of last season.
In terms of offense, the Raptors's unimpressive 112.2 points per game ranks 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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