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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.0).

The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made a whopping 56.3% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly higher than his 47.8 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Jakob Poeltl is expected to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jakob Poeltl has converted a lowly 0.0% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit less than his 100.0 mark last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.7 fouls per game away from home this year.

The Raptors rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should reduce plays for the Raptors.

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