Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to raise opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl has sunk an impressive 56.5% of his foul shot attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 47.8 rate last season.
Jakob Poeltl will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has sunk a mere 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly less than his 100.0 rate last season.
Jakob Poeltl has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Bucks is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have shot for the 15th-lowest FG% in the league this year (52.5%).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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