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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jakob Poeltl has made an impressive 58.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 47.8 rate last year.

Jakob Poeltl will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made a measly 0.0% of his three-point attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 100.0 mark last season.

Jakob Poeltl has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (12.3).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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