Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (16.1).
The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pacers may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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