Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are on the road, they have given up the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.3).
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (7th-least in the league).

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