Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one; when the Wizards are playing at home, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (17.0).
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Washington is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted an enormous 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Wizards are playing at home (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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