Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Pelicans are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.7%).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.1 free throws per game over the last 5 games (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

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