Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Magic have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when Carter Jr. is on the visiting team opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.2 foul shots per game (97th percentile).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
The matchup vs. Mo Bamba is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 8.2 shots made from the field per game (7th percentile).

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