Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game (96th percentile).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year.
The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 0.9 treys per game (4th percentile).

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