Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Precious Achiuwa is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 0.9 threes per game (-387 percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Precious Achiuwa is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game (-228 percentile).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has made a mere 0.0% of his three-point shots this year, quite a bit lower than his 100.0 rate last year.
Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.1 shots from downtown per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one; they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs over the last 5 games (10.5).