Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has made 100.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The Bulls have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (83rd percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
This matchup is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the other team have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Bulls have the home court advantage (40.3).
The matchup against Chicago is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Bulls are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have shot for the lowest three rate in the league this year (15.9%).