Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has sunk 100.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season playing at home.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (118.4).
The 76ers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a lowly 27.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-least in the NBA).