Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has converted 100.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has sunk an impressive 55.3% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 47.8 rate last year.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Lakers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
Jakob Poeltl will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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