Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 100.0% of his treys since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a mere 27.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for scoring; while playing at home, opposing squads have put up the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (48.2%).
As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been lousy at getting to the foul line while playing away from home: worst in the NBA this year, tallying a mere 20.5 free throw attempts per game.