Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has posted 2.9 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category over this stretch.
Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 7th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Jakob Poeltl should suffer a reduction in production across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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