Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 7:29 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has totaled 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.0 more than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.2 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).
Jakob Poeltl will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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