Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 11:50 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.4 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
Jakob Poeltl has played a terrific 31.5 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 26.4 minutes per game last year.
The Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.
The Raptors will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).
Jakob Poeltl should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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