Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+143/-195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has posted 2.8 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this metric over this stretch of games: 75th percentile.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Jakob Poeltl ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).

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