Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has posted 3.1 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard recently: 78th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

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