Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has put up 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put up overall this season.
The 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 12thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Jakob Poeltl will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Golden State Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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