Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).
Jakob Poeltl will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while at home this year.
The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.

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