Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Jakob Poeltl stands to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

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