Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 6thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (92nd percentile).
Jakob Poeltl will likely experience a decrease in performance for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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