Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.0 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
While at home, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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