Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo away team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Jakob Poeltl will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (lengthening possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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