Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Raptors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 15.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Hornets (maintaining possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).
Jakob Poeltl will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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